Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 10.006584 11.195437 12.479961 13.972748 15.662078 17.517047 19.711648
2025-04-27 8.399472 10.013605 11.881349 14.209213 17.042485 20.391088 24.666568
2025-05-04 7.100080 8.953259 11.232245 14.257029 18.190277 23.164037 29.981306
2025-05-11 5.920793 7.853421 10.364801 13.895401 18.775658 25.348837 34.982566
2025-05-18 5.016510 6.969867 9.640445 13.601261 19.399484 27.690358 40.647544
2025-05-25 4.306843 6.244993 9.022234 13.352181 20.042452 30.167973 46.998784
2025-06-01 3.758432 5.670179 8.532186 13.208703 20.813729 32.965694 54.403862
2025-06-08 3.322852 5.201544 8.131554 13.135622 21.678272 36.056345 62.924333
2025-06-15 3.047999 4.944363 8.021571 13.508833 23.334605 40.746296 75.212594
2025-06-22 2.723810 4.562024 7.653314 13.385729 24.108103 44.030769 85.635437
2025-06-29 2.413499 4.161980 7.200098 13.040836 24.416840 46.510666 95.035586
2025-07-06 2.171387 3.849838 6.858687 12.846929 24.974868 49.564844 106.309087
2025-07-13 2.020203 3.688001 6.777917 13.157972 26.630654 55.242678 124.910104
2025-07-20 1.892612 3.553944 6.731712 13.532722 28.494970 61.758516 147.204131
2025-07-27 1.755144 3.383497 6.592404 13.695276 29.938436 67.656800 169.651812
2025-08-03 1.591651 3.141347 6.278115 13.435742 30.389941 71.358115 187.511311
2025-08-10 1.451589 2.930154 6.000847 13.216355 30.900584 75.325055 207.279214
2025-08-17 1.329951 2.743102 5.751221 13.022567 31.442600 79.501279 228.930546
2025-08-24 1.228847 2.588237 5.552319 12.918547 32.196055 84.413077 254.350433
2025-08-31 1.142698 2.456209 5.388002 12.873957 33.100747 89.955165 283.576897
2025-09-07 1.093745 2.401916 5.394855 13.259890 35.248121 99.559674 329.604220
2025-09-14 1.018133 2.277696 5.221833 13.154815 36.004814 105.216089 363.810801
2025-09-21 0.936977 2.131622 4.978850 12.827803 36.061774 108.737696 391.460183